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OIL CATASTROPHE Looms As Trump Restarts War

Breaking Points · 20:58 · 3 days ago

The US has abandoned diplomacy with Iran, reviving a cycle of military confrontation that threatens the global energy supply and leaves the path for future negotiations increasingly narrow.

  • Diplomatic collapse — The previous agreement is essentially dead, as hostilities have returned to previous levels without solving any fundamental issues between the two nations .

  • Economic danger — Global oil inventories remain low, making the window for avoiding a major financial crisis much smaller than it was earlier this year .

  • Regional escalation — The US decision to greenlight renewed Saudi strikes in Yemen risks drawing in the Houthis and forcing a blockade of the Bab al-Mandab Strait .

  • Preemptive logic — Iranian leadership interprets American political maneuvering as evidence that a military strike is inevitable, leading them to conclude that preemptive action is their only defensive option .

  • Intelligence failure — Efforts by Israel to recruit former Iranian leader Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as an intelligence asset appear to have been a failed experiment that left the regime's internal power dynamics unchanged .

  • Failed strategy — Plans to arm and train Kurdish opposition groups to spark regime change were unrealistic, as regional powers like Turkey and Iraqi Kurds would have suffered from the resulting instability .

  • How did the Iranian leadership justify their decision to slow down negotiations during the final weeks of the agreement?

  • What was the role of the Omanis in the diplomatic efforts regarding the management of the Strait of Hormuz?